FIA Market Briefing

Thursday, July 2, 2026
FIA RATE ENVIRONMENT: FAVORABLEConditions support improving FIA crediting rates
Fed Watch
Fed Funds Rate Target
4.25% – 4.50%
Next FOMC Meeting
May 6–7, 2026
Yield Curve & Rates
3.69%
2-Year Treasury
+0.03 this week
Normal
+82 bps
10Y minus 2Y
4.51%
10-Year Treasury
+0.06 this week

What this means for FIA rates: The 10-year Treasury rose +0.06% this week to 4.51%, widening insurer bond income and putting upward pressure on FIA cap rates and participation rates. The yield curve is normal (+82 bps), a healthy sign for insurer long-term portfolio returns.

Key FIA Rate Drivers
10-Year Treasury Yield0.06 this week
10-Year Treasury Yield
VIX (Volatility)11.43% this week
VIX (Volatility)
What This Means for FIA Cap Rates

With the 10-year at 4.51% and VIX calm at 16.5, option budgets are in good shape. Rising bond yields fund larger options budgets while contained volatility keeps option costs down — the best combination for competitive FIA cap rates.

FIA Rate Outlook

Rate improvement likely. Yields are rising while options costs remain contained — the best combination for FIA crediting rates. The 10-year moved from 4.45% to 4.51% over the week, and VIX went from 18.63 to 16.50. The yield curve is positive (82bps spread) — a healthy sign for insurer portfolio returns. If you're seeing competitive quotes, it's a good time to lock in. Insurers have room to improve caps and participation rates.

Client Talking Points Today
  • Yields are rising — good time to discuss locking in a new FIA while crediting rates are improving.
  • Markets are up — the S&P gained 1.6% this week. Remind clients that FIAs let them participate in gains like these while protecting their principal from downturns.
  • With the 10-year at 4.51%, fixed-rate alternatives look competitive. Be ready to explain how FIA participation in market upside differentiates them from straight fixed annuities.
FIA-Linked Index Performance
S&P 5001.60% this week
S&P 500
NASDAQ1.77% this week
NASDAQ
Russell 20001.25% this week
Russell 2000
2-Year Treasury0.82% this week
2-Year Treasury

Today Financial Agency • Jed Monsen • 801.857.1069

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